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Trudeau says he’s hopeful but “no guarantee” as the Delta option hangs over the decision on the Canada-US border

Trudeau’s caution comes amid growing national and global concerns about the Delta variant of Covid-19 and at a time when Canada’s own fully vaccinated rate was just over 20 percent.

Last week, President Joe Biden warned that Covid-19 cases will increase in some regions with lower vaccination rates. Biden also said the highly contagious Delta will put those at higher risk without their vaccinations.

The scenery: Canada announced the first phase of its plan to lift border restrictions on Monday. The steps followed an agreement between both countries to keep the crossings closed for non-essential travel until at least July 21.

So far, however, the lighter rules only apply to fully vaccinated citizens, residents, and others who are already eligible to enter Canada – leaving non-essential travelers, including Americans, out of the picture.

Despite many questions, the Trudeau government has provided no data and very few specific metrics as to when it will open Canada’s door to foreign travelers.

Ottawa said this week that any update will require full vaccination of at least 75 percent of Canada’s population.

Trudeau said Tuesday that more than 75 percent of eligible Canadians had been vaccinated with a Covid vaccine and more than 21 percent were fully vaccinated.

“The fact that so many people in Canada are getting vaccinated is very, very good news,” he said in French before switching to English. “I understand the impatience people have to travel again, but the safety of Canadians has been and remains our number one priority.”

US frustrations: As vaccination rates rise in both countries, Trudeau and Biden were under pressure to begin lifting public health measures introduced at the border in March 2020.

The loudest demands for a reopening have come from lawmakers, business leaders, landowners with land across the border, and families who have been separated from relatives for more than a year. The central argument of those who are calling for the border measures to be lifted is that fully vaccinated travelers are allowed to cross the border freely.

Trudeau’s arguments: The prime minister reiterated Tuesday that a full vaccination will protect people from the worst effects of the virus, but will not necessarily prevent the person from transmitting Covid-19 to another person.

The government has said that in addition to vaccination coverage, any decisions about reopening the border should also take into account case numbers, hospitalization rates, local outbreaks, variants and the situation in other parts of the world.

Trudeau stressed Canada was trying to avoid closing again. “Nobody wants new restrictions put in place in the summer because the quantities were too high, because we were a little too rushed,” he said. “So we will deal with things carefully and step by step with every step.”

A New York Times tracker lists the state’s population with the percentage of people who are fully vaccinated. Looking at the border states on Monday, Maine was 70 percent, New Hampshire 65, Vermont 75, New York 63, Pennsylvania 59, Ohio 54, Michigan 57, North Dakota 49, Montana 51, Idaho 47, Washington 65, and Alaska 53.

The reaction: Rep. Brian Higgins (DN.Y.), one of the most vocal lawmakers in pushing for the border measures to be lifted, told POLITICO Tuesday that he was encouraged by Trudeau’s signal that further announcements of the restrictions were on the way.

“It’s a lot more than before because Friday’s announcement was really an announcement about nothing,” Higgins said, referring to the news that Canada is extending restrictions for another month without specifying any schedule or thresholds.

“The prime minister has probably received some pushbacks that are in line with what we said and others … They all said, ‘Hey, look, we need more – we need more of you, what we’re going to do.’ Look, that represents an opening. “

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer issued a statement Monday calling it “mind-boggling” that New Yorkers could travel freely to Europe, but those who are fully vaccinated still can’t even travel a few miles drive north to Canada for their businesses, businesses, and families and properties.

But dr. David Fisman, professor of epidemiology at the University of Toronto’s Dalla Lana School of Public Health, told POLITICO this week that Canada’s cautious approach to the border is “very appropriate” as the variants have moved the target posts.

“Both the higher reproductive numbers and the decreased effectiveness of the single-dose vaccine against Delta likely led them to make these changes,” he said.

What’s next: Since the first border measures were imposed, the countries have been renewing a bilateral agreement from month to month. The next contract expires on July 21st.

Intergovernmental Affairs Minister Dominic LeBlanc told reporters at a separate press conference Tuesday that Ottawa understands the consequences of the border measures for economic sectors such as tourism.

LeBlanc then brought up the July 21 expiration date.

“Of course, as we get near that date, we’ll see in three or four weeks what after that … is a prudent approach,” he said.

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